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Racer Ethel (aditus)
Race Number 858
Date Wed, 1 Oct 2014 17:48:25 +0000
Speed 117 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 97.1%
Rank 1st place (out of 3)
Opponents andy010 (4th place) jrmrj (3rd place) spikenox (2nd place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)