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Racer Ashvin (ashvinsharma)
Race Number 2136
Date Sun, 24 Nov 2013 13:24:35 +0000
Speed 69 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 91.8%
Rank 1st place (out of 5)
Opponents giogabgeo (5th place) tep2_11 (2nd place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)