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Racer bjoen (bjoen)
Race Number 71
Date Fri, 1 Feb 2013 14:57:09 +0000
Speed 48 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 86.8%
Rank 5th place (out of 5)
Opponents demireel (3rd place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)