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Racer Bloodhoof (bloodhoof)
Race Number 17
Date Wed, 6 Jul 2016 17:04:00 +0000
Speed 82 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 95.2%
Rank 1st place (out of 5)
Opponents _ag_ (3rd place) bu_te (2nd place) professionalser (4th place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)