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Racer Bob (cwestergard)
Race Number 87
Date Wed, 23 Sep 2015 00:52:16 +0000
Speed 86 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 93.1%
Rank 4th place (out of 4)
Opponents stoplookingatme (3rd place) weapon9 (1st place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)