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Racer Nelson (dortozz)
Race Number 41
Date Thu, 25 Feb 2016 11:39:29 +0000
Speed 59 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 88.2%
Rank 2nd place (out of 3)
Opponents deflay (1st place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)