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Racer Obed (hobobed)
Race Number 268
Date Wed, 14 Mar 2012 08:59:36 +0000
Speed 69 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 94.6%
Rank 2nd place (out of 4)
Opponents havjt (3rd place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)