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Racer mel (madi920)
Race Number 7959
Date Fri, 30 Dec 2011 04:56:45 +0000
Speed 74 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 89.8%
Rank 1st place (out of 3)
Opponents bdwbs (3rd place) flawpenguin (2nd place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)