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Racer Charlie (paynezz)
Race Number 47
Date Sun, 29 Nov 2015 21:52:45 +0000
Speed 62 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 93.1%
Rank 5th place (out of 5)
Opponents chickenfrend (4th place) estevaoima (1st place) pabloskimg (2nd place) stalast (3rd place)

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The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)