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Racer Vlad (rushfordeath)
Race Number 56
Date Sat, 19 Sep 2015 23:39:27 +0000
Speed 74 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 92.0%
Rank 3rd place (out of 4)
Opponents a9088391 (4th place) erwingo (2nd place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)