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Racer Natalie (shadowauradrake)
Race Number 34
Date Tue, 11 Sep 2012 16:27:51 +0000
Speed 59 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 87.5%
Rank 3rd place (out of 5)
Opponents dr0llingice (1st place) increasespeed (2nd place) murdermn (4th place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)