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Racer sjorn (sjorn)
Race Number 338
Date Fri, 22 Apr 2016 17:21:17 +0000
Speed 68 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 94.4%
Rank 2nd place (out of 5)
Opponents beastness112 (1st place) chefbiri (3rd place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)