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Racer Soriddo (solidsnk)
Race Number 28
Date Thu, 24 Nov 2016 16:51:00 +0000
Speed 80 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 81.7%
Rank 2nd place (out of 4)
Opponents filthypeasant (1st place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)