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Racer 4tt4ck3r (tasemu)
Race Number 62
Date Mon, 10 Dec 2012 05:52:14 +0000
Speed 97 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 100.0%
Rank 1st place (out of 5)
Opponents cobalt28 (3rd place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)