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Racer Josh (zanein)
Race Number 77
Date Mon, 20 Apr 2015 18:22:43 +0000
Speed 67 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 90.3%
Rank 5th place (out of 5)
Opponents albertexcel (2nd place) goldsmith (1st place) twentey (3rd place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)