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Racer Don (don_charles)
Race Number 16
Date Wed, 12 Sep 2012 09:53:12 +0000
Universe accuracy
Speed 39 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 100.0%
Rank 1st place (out of 2)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)